ENTSO-E and its members are performing analysis of potential risk to system adequacy in Europe ahead of the summer and winter seasons. This is in order to foster cooperation among transmission system operators in Europe and also to alert authorities and stakeholders of risks so that countermeasures can be planned as necessary.
The analysis performed by ENTSO-E for the summer 2016 shows that all considered Europe has sufficient generation to meet normal and severe demand conditions between June and October.
Various countries may have to rely on imports to cover demand but available cross-border capacities are expected to be sufficient in all conditions to accommodate them at the exception of Poland where security of supply might be at risk under severe conditions. Similarly, Great Britain might reach its maximum import capacity if severe conditions occur in the second half of September.
The decline in traditional net generation capacity continues. And as already identified in the Winter Outlook 2015/16, this decline is not compensated by the growth in net variable generation capacity.
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The ENTSO-E Winter Outlook 2015/16 shows that in general Europe has sufficient generation for both normal and severe demand conditions. While various countries may require imports to cover the expected demand, cross border capacity is expected to be mostly sufficient to accommodate them.
adequacy in Poland was identified as potentially at risk.
Read the full Winter Outlook 2015/16 and Summer Review
Winter Outlook 2015/16 input datasheet
Slides of the ENTSO-E and ENTSOG webinar on Winter Outlooks 2015/16
For further information on the ENTSO-E Outlook Reports, please contact