We are pleased to invite you to the Workshop “Data Collection for Probabilistic Risk Assessment”, organised by the Project Team that will take place in Brussels on 17 January 2020 at ENTSO-E premises, Avenue de Cortenbergh 100 (Groundfloor), 1000 Brussels, from 10:00-16:00h.


Pursuant to ACER’s decision on a Common Security Assessment Methodology from June 19 2019, all TSOs are required to develop a methodology on common probabilistic risk assessment as an update to the CSAM by the end of 2027. It is of the utmost importance to start the data collection as soon as possible so as to have enough history. This is one of the first steps on the way to move away from the N‑1 principle and implement a probabilistic approach able to address new types of system threats while effectively mitigating their consequences on society as a whole. This is why all TSOs are required to identify the data to be collected by March 2020 pursuant to CSAM Article 44(3) and then to implement the collection process by March 2021 pursuant to CSAM Article 44(5).

A project group under the supervision of ENTSO-E’s System Operation Committee/Steering Group Operational Framework has been set up identify the data that needs to be collected in order to develop the operational probabilistic coordinated security assessment and risk management. It has to be noted that those identified data to be collected may not be exactly the same than those that will be required by the forthcoming methodology.

Scope and objectives:

The main objective is to increase TSOs’ awareness on probabilistic risk management an while receiving feedback and inputs from participants to better satisfy the regulatory obligation. During this workshop, we will engage with the participants to achieve the following:

  • Exchange of experiences related to data collection for probabilistic risk assessment.
  • Gather preliminary feedback from the participants on the usability, applicability and usefulness of our proposal.
  • Seek expertise to incorporate other variables not yet considered.

As such, participants are welcome, on a voluntary basis, to present their latest progress on probabilistic risk management while focusing on the data collection required to develop such a methodology.

The data to be collected has been divided in three categories: occurrence of incidents, forecast deviations and exogenous data (e.g. weather). During the workshop, participants will be broken out in two subgroups. All the participants will work on the occurrence of incidents but are welcome to express their preference to work on forecast deviations or exogenous data.

Target groups:

This workshop is public and targets TSOs experts, universities and independent research organisations. Feel free to share this invitation with your related contacts that could be interested in participating.

Here is the draft agenda for the workshop.

For logistical reasons, we kindly ask you and/or your colleagues to confirm your participation via this form by 09 January 2020.

In case of any questions, please do not hesitate to contact Pilar Munoz-Elena (Pilar.Munoz-Elena@entsoe.eu) and Jonathan Baudier (jonathan.baudier@rte-france.com).